November 2022 U.S. Climate Outlook: NOAA

month is favored to be warmer and drier than average across the eastern United States and cooler and wetter than average for the Northwest.

The November temperature outlook favors a well-above-average month for the central and eastern United States. The highest likelihood for above-average temperatures (60-70%) is across New England, with a broad region from the Great Lakes to the Northeast having odds above 50%. In contrast, a cooler-than-average month is favored for the Northwest stretching to western North Dakota.

Map of the contiguous United States (view Alaska) showing which of three temperature outcomes—much warmer than average (red), average, or much cooler than average (blue)—is most likely for the month of November 2022. Darker colors mean greater chances, not bigger temperature extremes. White does not mean "average." It means a warm, cool, or near average November are all equally likely. NOAA Climate.gov image, based on Climate Prediction Center data.

 

Map of the contiguous United States (view Alaska) showing which of three temperature outcomes—much warmer than average (red), average, or much cooler than average (blue)—is most likely for the month of November 2022. Darker colors mean greater chances, not bigger temperature extremes. White does not mean "average." It means a warm, cool, or near average November are all equally likely. NOAA Climate.gov image, based on Climate Prediction Center data.

Drier than average in the East, wetter than average in the West

The precipitation outlook for November has odds tilted towards a drier-than-average month for the eastern United States and a wetter-than-average month for much of the West. The best chance for below-average precipitation (40-50%) is across the Southeast and along the southern Appalachian Mountains. Meanwhile, the highest likelihood of a wetter-than-average November (50-60%) is across the northern Rockies in Idaho, Montana, and eastern Oregon.